Ambush Performance Futures

About

Before you dive into the following graphs and numbers let me give you a few explanations about the reports.

To keep things simple here, no commissions or slippage are included and a limit-order is considered filled if price touched the limit price on that day, even if it didn't trade through. This is the case only in about 2% of all the trades shown and our real-world experience shows that if you're trading only a few contracts you'll get filled much more often than not. Remember we're looking at daily charts here, so the odds of gettings filled at a daily high/low aren't that bad.

Regarding commissions and slippage you can simply substract the commissions you'd pay at your broker from the results. Slippage is not a big issue trading Ambush as it's using limit-orders for all entries and a time based exit for most trades. This allows you to also use a limit order to exit the trades avoiding extensive slippage. This is a huge advantage to entering/exiting with stop-market orders where you often get significant slippage especially in the less liquid markets.

Corona Crisis: Subscribers had been warned multiple times about potentially increased risks of trading between January 28th and April 26th. As most subscribers didn't use the service as usual during this period, every subscriber got two months of Ambush Signals for free. The trades that happened during the corona crisis are shown as flat periods in the performance reports. This makes it easier to evaluate the actual performance of Ambush Signals during regular trading conditions.

If you have any questions about the performance or Ambush in general, don't hesitate to send me an email.

Happy Trading!

Marco Mayer

List of currently supported markets:

Here's a list of currently supported markets by Ambush.

NameSymbol (Exchange)
Australian Dollar6A (GLOBEX)
Canadian Dollar6C (GLOBEX)
Euro6E (GLOBEX)
New Zealand Dollar6N (GLOBEX)
Dollar IndexDX (NYBOT)
E-Mini S&P MidCap 400EMD (GLOBEX)
E-Mini S&P 500ES (GLOBEX)
Dow Jones Euro STOXX50FESX (DTB)
Euro Bobl (5 Year Bond)FGBM (DTB)
GoldGC (NYMEX)
Micro E-Mini Russel 2000M2K (GLOBEX)
Micro E-Mini S&P 500MES (GLOBEX)
Henry Hub Natural GasNG (NYMEX)
E-Mini Russel 2000RTY (GLOBEX)
5 Year US T-NoteZF (ECBOT)
10 Year US T-NoteZN (ECBOT)



Ambush All Stars Portfolios

Of course you can trade Ambush in just one of the markets of your choice listed above. But actually Ambush performs best trading multiple markets. To show you the power of trading multiple markets, we've come up with three sample portfolios for different account sizes.

We call these the "Ambush All Stars" portfolios, baskets of diversified markets that have been performing very well consistently over many years now.

All of these include at least one market out of four sectors: stock indices, interest rates, currencies and commodities.

Now some of the shown futures contracts require higher margin and risk (daily price movement) than other contracts. This is why we didn't simply use the same number of contracts for each of the futures. The ZN (10 Year Notes) is a much smaller contract than the EMD (E-Mini S&P MidCap 400) for example. To keep things simple and comprehensible, we simply took the average daily range (high-low) of each contract over the whole time period shown, converted it to USD to know how much each contract moved on average per day in USD and then adjusted the number of contracts to get about the same daily USD price movement for each market.

Ambush has been around for almost 10 years now. That's a very long time for a trading system. As markets tend to change, I do review Ambush once a year to see if any changes are necessary to adapt to changing market conditions. The last time any significant changes have been required was in July 2015. As you can see on the following equity charts, Ambush kept on performing as expected in "live mode".


Ambush All Stars Portfolio - Mini Accounts (10k+)

The mini portfolio includes only three markets and is a good choice for very small accounts still offering a decent level of diversification:

Out[32]:
Symbol Exchange Contracts
Canadian Dollar 6C GLOBEX 1
5 Year US T-Note ZF ECBOT 2
Micro E-Mini S&P 500 MES GLOBEX 3
Overview
Total Profit in USD$81,801
Average Yearly Profit in USD$6,986
Profit Factor 1.40
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 1639
Winning % 53.33
Largest Win Trade in USD$1,945
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-1,781
Average Trade in USD$50
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-5,141
Max Drawdown Length 166 days
Max Drawdown Date11.08.2009
Longest Flat in Days 366 days
MAR Ratio 1.36


Ambush All Stars Portfolio - Small Accounts (25k+)

The small portfolio includes only four markets and is a good choice for small accounts still offering a decent level of diversification:

Out[36]:
Symbol Exchange Contracts
E-Mini S&P 500 ES GLOBEX 1
Australian Dollar 6A GLOBEX 1
Henry Hub Natural Gas NG NYMEX 1
5 Year US T-Note ZF ECBOT 4
Overview
Total Profit in USD$289,275
Average Yearly Profit in USD$24,704
Profit Factor 1.40
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 3481
Winning % 52.37
Largest Win Trade in USD$6,975
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-3,562
Average Trade in USD$83
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-16,451
Max Drawdown Length 52 days
Max Drawdown Date24.12.2018
Longest Flat in Days 280 days
MAR Ratio 1.50



Ambush All Stars Portfolio - Medium Accounts (50k+)

The medium sized portfolio includes six markets and is a good choice for medium to large accounts offering a well diversified mix of markets.

Out[40]:
Symbol Exchange Contracts
E-Mini S&P 500 ES GLOBEX 1
Australian Dollar 6A GLOBEX 1
Henry Hub Natural Gas NG NYMEX 1
New Zealand Dollar 6N GLOBEX 2
Dollar Index DX NYBOT 2
5 Year US T-Note ZF ECBOT 4
Overview
Total Profit in USD$428,335
Average Yearly Profit in USD$36,579
Profit Factor 1.37
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 5233
Winning % 53.07
Largest Win Trade in USD$6,975
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-3,562
Average Trade in USD$82
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-14,808
Max Drawdown Length 52 days
Max Drawdown Date08.05.2009
Longest Flat in Days 206 days
MAR Ratio 2.47



Ambush All Stars Portfolio - Large Accounts (100k+)

The large sized portfolio includes six markets and is a good choice for medium to large accounts offering a well diversified mix of markets.

Out[45]:
Symbol Exchange Contracts
Gold GC NYMEX 1
E-Mini S&P 500 ES GLOBEX 2
E-Mini Russel 2000 RTY GLOBEX 2
Euro 6E GLOBEX 2
Australian Dollar 6A GLOBEX 2
New Zealand Dollar 6N GLOBEX 2
Henry Hub Natural Gas NG NYMEX 2
Canadian Dollar 6C GLOBEX 3
Dollar Index DX NYBOT 3
5 Year US T-Note ZF ECBOT 6
Overview
Total Profit in USD$1,135,429
Average Yearly Profit in USD$96,964
Profit Factor 1.33
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 8836
Winning % 52.98
Largest Win Trade in USD$13,950
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-8,090
Average Trade in USD$129
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-40,692
Max Drawdown Length 7 days
Max Drawdown Date25.08.2015
Longest Flat in Days 257 days
MAR Ratio 2.38



Individual Performance Reports

Here you can find the performance of each of the markets trading one contract.

Overview
Total Profit in USD$69,590
Average Yearly Profit in USD$5,943
Profit Factor 1.37
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 1188
Winning % 53.45
Largest Win Trade in USD$2,510
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-2,480
Average Trade in USD$59
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-11,320
Max Drawdown Length 579 days
Max Drawdown Date30.11.2011
Longest Flat in Days 764 days
MAR Ratio 0.52


Overview
Total Profit in USD$49,705
Average Yearly Profit in USD$4,245
Profit Factor 1.39
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 1035
Winning % 53.72
Largest Win Trade in USD$1,945
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-1,680
Average Trade in USD$48
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-4,475
Max Drawdown Length 95 days
Max Drawdown Date29.05.2009
Longest Flat in Days 671 days
MAR Ratio 0.95


Overview
Total Profit in USD$48,681
Average Yearly Profit in USD$4,157
Profit Factor 1.20
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 947
Winning % 53.12
Largest Win Trade in USD$3,288
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-3,538
Average Trade in USD$51
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-9,131
Max Drawdown Length 274 days
Max Drawdown Date11.09.2015
Longest Flat in Days 1007 days
MAR Ratio 0.46


Overview
Total Profit in USD$40,120
Average Yearly Profit in USD$3,426
Profit Factor 1.40
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 796
Winning % 53.89
Largest Win Trade in USD$2,240
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-1,680
Average Trade in USD$50
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-4,930
Max Drawdown Length 216 days
Max Drawdown Date19.05.2010
Longest Flat in Days 377 days
MAR Ratio 0.69


Overview
Total Profit in USD$29,410
Average Yearly Profit in USD$2,512
Profit Factor 1.26
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 956
Winning % 54.92
Largest Win Trade in USD$1,670
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-1,650
Average Trade in USD$31
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-8,810
Max Drawdown Length 686 days
Max Drawdown Date17.01.2017
Longest Flat in Days 1399 days
MAR Ratio 0.29


Overview
Total Profit in USD$41,650
Average Yearly Profit in USD$3,557
Profit Factor 1.24
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 470
Winning % 52.34
Largest Win Trade in USD$8,520
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-7,620
Average Trade in USD$89
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-19,170
Max Drawdown Length 179 days
Max Drawdown Date24.12.2018
Longest Flat in Days 972 days
MAR Ratio 0.19


Overview
Total Profit in USD$55,988
Average Yearly Profit in USD$4,781
Profit Factor 1.39
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 638
Winning % 51.57
Largest Win Trade in USD$6,975
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-2,825
Average Trade in USD$88
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-10,000
Max Drawdown Length 297 days
Max Drawdown Date24.12.2018
Longest Flat in Days 518 days
MAR Ratio 0.48


Overview
Total Profit in EUR€29,940
Average Yearly Profit in EUR€2,557
Profit Factor 1.26
Total Commission in EUR€0
Total Slippage in EUR€0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 1138
Winning % 54.13
Largest Win Trade in EUR€1,370
Largest Loss Trade in EUR€-1,240
Average Trade in EUR€26
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in EUR€-5,600
Max Drawdown Length 51 days
Max Drawdown Date27.08.2015
Longest Flat in Days 621 days
MAR Ratio 0.46


Overview
Total Profit in EUR€9,250
Average Yearly Profit in EUR€790
Profit Factor 1.74
Total Commission in EUR€0
Total Slippage in EUR€0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 228
Winning % 61.84
Largest Win Trade in EUR€960
Largest Loss Trade in EUR€-840
Average Trade in EUR€41
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in EUR€-1,320
Max Drawdown Length 149 days
Max Drawdown Date04.11.2010
Longest Flat in Days 844 days
MAR Ratio 0.60


Overview
Total Profit in USD$92,810
Average Yearly Profit in USD$7,926
Profit Factor 1.38
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 660
Winning % 55.76
Largest Win Trade in USD$7,600
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-8,090
Average Trade in USD$141
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-20,660
Max Drawdown Length 552 days
Max Drawdown Date15.04.2013
Longest Flat in Days 1715 days
MAR Ratio 0.38


Overview
Total Profit in USD$1,500
Average Yearly Profit in USD$1,094
Profit Factor 1.70
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 80
Winning % 53.75
Largest Win Trade in USD$290
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-218
Average Trade in USD$19
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-294
Max Drawdown Length 20 days
Max Drawdown Date08.06.2020
Longest Flat in Days 113 days
MAR Ratio 3.73


Overview
Total Profit in USD$1,292
Average Yearly Profit in USD$942
Profit Factor 1.56
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 60
Winning % 48.33
Largest Win Trade in USD$399
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-260
Average Trade in USD$22
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-411
Max Drawdown Length 11 days
Max Drawdown Date08.06.2020
Longest Flat in Days 196 days
MAR Ratio 2.29


Overview
Total Profit in USD$107,260
Average Yearly Profit in USD$9,160
Profit Factor 1.41
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 1111
Winning % 51.31
Largest Win Trade in USD$3,720
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-2,490
Average Trade in USD$97
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-13,000
Max Drawdown Length 167 days
Max Drawdown Date14.01.2019
Longest Flat in Days 777 days
MAR Ratio 0.70


Overview
Total Profit in USD$38,670
Average Yearly Profit in USD$3,302
Profit Factor 1.23
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 961
Winning % 49.64
Largest Win Trade in USD$3,440
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-2,195
Average Trade in USD$40
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-10,300
Max Drawdown Length 478 days
Max Drawdown Date08.12.2016
Longest Flat in Days 922 days
MAR Ratio 0.32


Overview
Total Profit in USD$14,109
Average Yearly Profit in USD$1,205
Profit Factor 1.41
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 544
Winning % 53.12
Largest Win Trade in USD$961
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-891
Average Trade in USD$26
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-2,023
Max Drawdown Length 826 days
Max Drawdown Date05.01.2017
Longest Flat in Days 1162 days
MAR Ratio 0.60


Overview
Total Profit in USD$20,500
Average Yearly Profit in USD$1,751
Profit Factor 1.32
Total Commission in USD$0
Total Slippage in USD$0
Trade Stats
Total Number Of Trades 572
Winning % 52.62
Largest Win Trade in USD$1,547
Largest Loss Trade in USD$-1,266
Average Trade in USD$36
Drawdown Stats
Max Drawdown in USD$-3,891
Max Drawdown Length 1293 days
Max Drawdown Date20.11.2019
Longest Flat in Days 1584 days
MAR Ratio 0.45