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Is Seasonality the same in all Markets?

You can find seasonality in all markets but I personally think there is a big difference in "reliability" or "strength" of seasonality in the markets. I personally think seasonality is strongest in the commodity markets. In all markets where you have a physical product and a production cycle during the year. Because the production cycle is always the same you get typical seasonal behaviors in these markets. Other markets, like the indices, also show a seasonal pattern but I think it is not as strong as in the commodity markets. Anyway, seasonality is only one criterion besides others and I would never recommend any entry just based on statistics. You have to look at the current chart of the current spread to see what is going on. That's what we have to trade!  

 

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Monday, 17 December 2018

Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.