Hey Joe! How can I get a feel for what's happening in the market? One of the things that has helped me was beginning to use tick charts for my day trading. In a past issue of Chart Scan, I explained that there are two kinds of volume: Contract Volume and Tick Volume. Almost everyone is familiar with contract volume. It's usually shown as a histogram at the bottom of a price chart. For a given time...
Trading Educators Blog
Hey Joe! You've said that prices are not always moved by supply and demand; That they are heavily manipulated in some cases. We know that they intentionally run the stops, but what else do they do? Besides intentional stop running, those who have the power to move prices often resort to other dirty tricks. This may be more-true of stocks and Forex than of futures, but I believe all of the tricks b...
Hey Joe! Have you ever traded the Gold/Silver Ratio? How do you go about doing it? I think I traded the ratio a couple of times. It's not something I pay a lot of attention to. Here's some background about this ratio: According to a Mocatta Metals Corporation article, as of April 1980, when the price ratio of one ounce of gold to one ounce of sliver approaches 40:1 gold should be sold and silver b...
During the years I've been in the markets, I have been trained by two super-disciplinarians. One was my great uncle, Julius, and the other was John Wooden. Both emphasized extreme discipline and both told me to be all I can be, which for me was not a great outlook. Having been dyslexic all my life, I grew up with an inferiority complex. My dyslexia was very much present in the area of numbers and ...
Hi Joe, I've attended some time ago the IIG webinar and it opens my eyes to the advantages of selling options. But I've found a lot of webpages on the internet where are listed the many benefits of selling Commodity options instead of Stock options (higher return, lower margin requirements, more liquidity, more premium far OTM..) In the IIG webpage on your website is written: "In 2007, we began to...
Lately, we've been hearing a lot about an Inverted Yield Curve. What is it, and what does it mean? Yield curve inversion signals late phases of bull market rally. The market's "melt-up" phase is coming. Some of the best gains lie ahead. Canaccord Genuity's Tony Dwyer is known for being incredibly prescient regarding his market calls. As a result, many Wall Street asset managers listen to whatever ...
If you are unfamiliar with the term, insider buying refers to when insiders of a company - such as CEOs or directors - purchase shares of company stock on the public market or via private placement. Sometimes, the purchase may be the result of a stock option exercise, but often they are public market transactions. Insider buying typically means that the insider is bullish on the company's stock; t...
I never knew so much about the VIX until I looked it up and began investigating its value. There are many popular and simple ways that options are used to gauge the sentiment of investors. They are used as contrary indicators. When at extreme levels, VIX calls Market Bottoms. VIX is extremely reliable. The CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) Volatility Index – aka "the VIX" This indicator, known...
Oscillators tend to be somewhat misunderstood in the trading industry, despite their close association with the all-important concept of momentum. At its most fundamental level, momentum is actually a means of assessing the relative levels of greed or fear in the market at a given point in time. Markets ebb and flow, surge and retreat—the speed of such movement is measured by oscillators. An oscil...
Once a trade is entered, there are two possible outcomes: Win or lose. Between the two is the break-even point, and because it is in-between, it's psychologically significant. Losing is involved with fear and hope. Winning is involved with greed. When on the losing side of a trade, the break-even point is a place that inspires hope. Being human we have a natural tendency to avoid risk and loss. Wh...
Short-term Pullbacks provide opportunities to enter trades in the direction of the longer-term trend. Trade set-ups like these occur against short-term momentum (the pullback) but are in alignment with the longer-term trend and typically offer high probability and low risk trade ideas with a 2:1 (or better) reward-to-risk ratio. A great way to trade short-term pullbacks is to use a moving average....
Hey Andy! My plan has been to learn one way to trade and then stick with it. I would even prefer to learn to trade in a single market in order to simplify my life. What do you think? I think you won't be trading very often, and if you do, you will end up being a loser. When the market environment is not favorable for longer-term trading techniques, you should consider short-term trading techniques...
Swing Traders tend to spend longer monitoring markets and considering trading opportunities than day traders. Swing traders utilize chart, fundamental, and technical analysis in their considerations. Since swing trading does not require hours of daily monitoring, it's a good strategy for traders who wish to explore trading without treating it as a full-time job. Of course, intraday charts also inv...
There are three foes you must overcome in order to become an adequate trader. The first foe is fear. If a trader runs away out of fear and avoids trading, nothing will happen except that he will never learn. Fear causes your logic to become fuzzy and unclear. Lack of clarity becomes the second foe you have to overcome. Clearness of mind about the trading process removes fears. If you yield to the ...
Swing Low is a term used in technical analysis that refers to the troughs reached by a security's price or an indicator. A swing low is created when a low is lower than any other surrounding prices. Successively lower swing lows indicate that the underlying security is in a downtrend, while higher lows signal an uptrend. A swing low's opposite counterpart is a swing high. Swing low can be effectiv...
A Double Bottom pattern is a technical analysis charting pattern that describes a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action. It describes the drop of a stock or index, a rebound, a drop to the same or similar level as the original drop, and finally another rebound. The double bottom looks like the letter "W". The twice-touched low is considered a support level. \/\/ D...
I cannot count the number of times I've been asked this question. It seems as though every person who is new to trading asks this question, and sometimes it is asked by people who should know better. It's often the first question that pops up in my email, at seminars, and private tutoring sessions. Right up front I'm telling you I do not know the answer, and I often wonder if it is even the right ...
A thorough understanding of who you are and what makes you tick is essential in trading. How and what you think, what you believe, and how you behave are critical parts of winning in trading as well as winning in life. It seems very few traders understand, or are aware of this subtlety in the trading profession. You can get by without knowing who and what you are in most other careers but in tradi...
The cup and handle is a great trading pattern that works well with different time frames and with most markets like stocks, futures, commodities and foreign currency markets. Here's what it means, how to trade it, and tips to use it for potentially bigger profits. The Cup and Handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that begins with a consolidation period followed by a breakout. The patter...
When it comes to trading, you've got to unlearn what you've learned your whole life. It isn't all about you; it may just be the odds working against you. In other fields, probability plays little if any role. You put in effort, make sure you meet the expectations of the folks who pay you, and you're a success. In the traditional work environment, it makes sense to put a little ego and pride into y...