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Jul
01

Trading Soundbytes

Trading Soundbytes
Sometimes I write a soundbyte that elicits a good response from our readers. A recent soundbyte was one of those, so I blended together the gist of what some of you wrote, and many thanks to those of you who did. The article itself is posted below in blue italics. "Why are losses such a big deal? I can tell you why. In your book Trading Is a Business, you said that once we enter the market, we are...
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558 Hits
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Jun
24

Mechanical Systems

Mechanical Systems
Here's a question that came from one of my students, "Joe! Have you ever found a mechanical system that really works?" Most traders move from trading system to trading system, and trading method to trading method. Over a period of time, they may find one that suits them--one that is comfortable to run, and tests well either via back-testing, or in real-time. Some traders never stop looking for the...
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526 Hits
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Jun
17

The Right Place at the Right Time

The Right Place at the Right Time
This is an oldie, but goodie recollection from my trading days. Over a three-day weekend, Waldo received a call from his friend Jim. "Hi Wally, did you take a look at Google last week?" Waldo replied, "It was a rough week for my short positions. I didn't anticipate the buying surge and it hurt me a little. No, I didn't look at Google closely. I was caught up trading my own positions." Excitedly, J...
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384 Hits
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Jun
10

Elliott Waves

Elliott Waves
I have been corresponding with a mathematically oriented gentleman who is quite brilliant in his approach to the markets but who is very close to going off the deep end. He wrote me the following email: "I have given the 45 degree - phenomenon a lot of thought. I pretty much would like to know how you figure out the inner workings. "What I think is: "(a) The route of the 45 degree cuts the Elliot ...
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415 Hits
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Jun
10

Is it true that selling a market when it is limit up is usually a great strategy ?

Is it true that selling a market when it is limit up is usually a great strategy ?
This "brilliant" strategy stems from the idea that selling a market at limit up, may result in the trader gaining two limit moves in his favor while theoretically not losing any money the day of entry. I think is that this is an absurd idea. I don't advise this high risk approach as a trading tactic. Keep in mind that most markets that remain limit up on the close, will open sharply higher the nex...
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201 Hits
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Jun
03

Check Tick and Contract Volume

Check Tick and Contract Volume
Only 27% of all visitors gamble in Las Vegas to make money. What percentage of market traders have a similar attitude about trading stocks or commodities? It may be very close to 27%. Anything less than the best effort to win is unacceptable. If traders want entertainment they should go to a good movie, or buy a cat. Traders should stay out of the market unless they are totally comm...
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425 Hits
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May
27

What to look for...

What to look for...
Hey Joe! Has anyone that you know put together a compendium of what to look for when you first start out trading? Not that I know of. But consider the following: As a trader you are in a contest. Your strongest opponent has plenty of capital. He follows a program and he does it without emotion. He is totally aware of the fact that no one knows where the next tick will fall. Whereas he usually...
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413 Hits
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May
20

Control Overconfidence

Control Overconfidence
When traders are overconfident, they falsely believe that they can trade beyond their skill set. Overconfidence in trading usually reflects an exaggerated view of one's abilities, which can be fatal. Trading is an area in which accurate and realistic perceptions of one's skill levels are crucial. It's interesting to observe that traders can be especially overconfident when they feel uncertain abou...
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425 Hits
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May
12

Dump Past Losses

Dump Past Losses
What are your worst losing trades? Do they haunt you? It may be difficult at times, but you have to forget about the past and think only of tomorrow. Make sure you keep a trading log. It's important to learn from your mistakes, and to the extent that you can do that objectively and unemotionally, you don't need to worry much about past losing trades influencing your current trading decisions in ne...
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467 Hits
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May
06

Losing

Losing
I think you would agree that most traders are risk averse. We don't like losses, and we'll do almost anything to avoid taking them. Losses are painful, and there's a strong need to seek out pleasure and avoid pain. It is easier to avoid admitting a loss, and traders tend to come up with many ways of denying they have a loss, such as holding on to a losing trade and hoping it will turn around, or k...
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474 Hits
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Apr
27

Trading System

Trading System
You've done your homework. Countless hours of seeking out the right guru (or piecing together your own system). Weeks of monitoring your guru's daily trade picks (or paper-trading and back-testing your homemade system). You've done it by the book. No seat of the pants trading for you! OK, now you're confident. It's time to put your money where your homework is. You've had your coffee and your firs...
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481 Hits
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Apr
22

Evaluating Your Trading

Evaluating Your Trading
Taking an honest evaluation of your own strengths and weaknesses is crucial to becoming a consistently profitable trader. If you can't identify those habits which continually make (or cost) you money, then you're just shooting in the dark. It's extremely important that you know things about yourself such as: * The time of day you are most profitable. * The position size that works best for you. * ...
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435 Hits
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Apr
15

Find Positive Values from the most Negative Circumstances

Find Positive Values from the most Negative Circumstances
Three psychological traits prevent traders from becoming consistently successful: fear, anger, and guilt. Fear blocks the trade decision-making process due to worry about negative events that may or may not occur in the future. Guilt blocks the trade decision making process with unresolved concern about something that happened in the past. Anger is an emotional response to guilt, fear, the indecis...
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535 Hits
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Apr
09

Tick Speed and Direction

Tick Speed and Direction
How a market does what it does, is just as important as what it does! When day trading, watch closely the way prices tick. If ticks are jumping, someone may be taking the market up or down. If the market ticks fast, it may be a clue to an upcoming fairly good-size move. Watch volume in conjunction with tick speed and direction. Fast ticking is often accompanied by an increase in volume. If prices ...
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522 Hits
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Apr
01

Limit-up! (This article is for futures traders)

Limit-up! (This article is for futures traders)
Joe! Is it true that selling a market when it is limit up is usually a great strategy? This "brilliant" strategy stems from the idea that selling a market at limit-up, may result in the trader gaining two limit moves in his favor while theoretically not losing any money the day of entry. I think is that this is an absurd idea. I don't advise this high-risk approach as a trading tactic. Keep in min...
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596 Hits
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Mar
25

How Long?

How Long?
Hi! Can you give me some principles to determine how long I should set an expiry for in a pending order? Should it be a multiple of the time frame (e.g., 12 X 15 minutes)? If so, what multiple would you recommend? Some other method? You sent an interesting question, but no detail as to what you are trading. In any event, I know of no formula regarding how long to wait for an order to be filled. In...
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637 Hits
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Mar
18

Compendium?

Compendium?
Hey Joe! Has anyone that you know put together a compendium of what to look for when you first start out trading? Not that I know of. But consider the following: As a trader, you are in a contest. Your strongest opponent has plenty of capital. He follows a program and he does it without emotion. He is totally aware of the fact that no one knows where the next tick will fall. Whereas he usually has...
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1 Comment
Recent comment in this post
Dave Albert Hoxie
I am having trouble getting a real start. Have not made any real or practice trades. I have missed Phillipe's IIG postings, wond... Read More
Saturday, 20 March 2021 06:31
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Mar
10

Look for a Retracement

Look for a Retracement
Once prices have broken out, look for a retracement. Successful retracement trading can lead to very nice short-term profits. When prices finally do overcome resistance or support, penetrate a psychological barrier. or break out of a formation or trading range, it tends to do so boldly at first. But after their initial thrust, prices often seem to need reassurance. It's as if prices need to reconf...
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781 Hits
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Mar
04

Avoiding negative open equity

Avoiding negative open equity
There is an old saying that when day trading positions have had negative open equity most of the day, and an opportunity arises to exit the market at break-even with less than 30 minutes of trading rises, go ahead and exit the market. Unless the market is moving rapidly in your direction with expanding-in-length bars, and no more than 5 minutes left, exit immediately and consider the opportunity t...
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675 Hits
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Feb
26

Finding Great Investments

Finding Great Investments
I don't write much about investment. I'm a trader. But I did come across something I am happy to share. I'm a long-time subscriber to the Stansberry Alliance, and this comes from an email article. The 10 Ways to Find Your Next Great Investment Opportunity Finding great investment ideas is hard work. They don't just drop from the sky and say, "Here I am!" You have to uncover them. Today, I'd like t...
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732 Hits
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Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.