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Second Look

Second Look
Taking a second look at potential trades at times results in “why didn’t I see this before?”  For instance, what if you are looking at a market as it approaches a support area?  Isn’t it reasonable to ask yourself, “If this market breaks through and I am long, what will I do?”  Ask yourself how such an event would change the picture.  If you have a position, will you still want...
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Money Management explained in a few simple words

Money Management explained in a few simple words
Money management involves a number of things and it is not to be confused with trade management. Money management is static. It deals with things like deciding the size of your margin account; deciding how much of your account you will put at risk on any one trade; deciding where to place your stop; and deciding on fixed objectives. The main purpose of money management is to save you from a disast...
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Creativity in your Trading-the Spiritual Factor

Creativity in your Trading-the Spiritual Factor
I was asked the following question: “Joe, is it important to be creative in your trading?” I’m not sure I can describe it in terms of importance.  The creative process is somewhat of a mystery, even to scientists who study it, but that is only because scientists do not recognize the spiritual factors of our lives and consequently in our trading. The Bible says: “There is a spirit in man.”&nbs...
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How do you go about making trading decisions?

How do you go about making trading decisions?
Careful analysis of all possible alternatives and all possible consequences of your trading decisions is the first step in good decision-making. Make every attempt to avoid impulsive trading decisions, invariably these lead to taking unnecessary risks. Strive to have a clearly defined trading plan, but keep it as simple as possible. Chart the equity of your trading method so that you can quickly k...
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Is it really possible to be consistently profitable?

Is it really possible to be consistently profitable?
When you are in a slump and feeling frustrated and disappointed, you tend to think, "I'll never be profitable, and there is nothing I can do about it." The consequences of such reasoning are that you'll never feel like putting on a trade ever again. It is better to think, "Profitable trading is almost impossible, but I can learn how the markets work, develop the necessary skills, and eventually ac...
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Worthy of Posting - You Need to Know

Worthy of Posting - You Need to Know
I came across a very good article from the "Sovereign Man by Simon Black" - Please send this on to family and friends!   "A few days ago the following information was put out by a finance professor at Columbia University in New York City who has been doing a deep dive on the financial management industry. " "His results were pretty concerning." "One of the things that he said was that fund ma...
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Time stops in intraday trading

Time stops in intraday trading
For the most part, trader’s stops are based on money, ticks, pips or some percentage of their trading account. All of these are money management stops. In this respect, the level selected for the stop should take into consideration your risk tolerance. However, very few traders use time stops in addition to money management stops. Time stops are trade management stops. Using a time stop is quite s...
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Kramer (from the Seinfeld show) on the Swiss Franc

Kramer (from the Seinfeld show) on the Swiss Franc
“ Hello, Kramer? You got a minute? Take a look at the Swiss Franc chart ­ what do you think?”   “ Well, I’ll tell you what I think! If the market is not going up, then it ought to be going down. But, if it’s not going down or up, it must be going sideways ­ unless, of course, it’s making a correction. But, if it’s not making a correction, maybe this is a small congestion, unless, of course, i...
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Trading education

Trading education
It seems as though everyone believes in trading education except those who really need it. For years, knowledgeable brokers have advocated it.  Trading coaches recommend it. And great traders are also believers. Why then do wannabe and aspiring traders not believe in trading education? Why are beginners so reluctant to shell out a few bucks to get the education they need in order to be succes...
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Avoiding Stress

Avoiding Stress
Trading can be difficult. It often requires you to look for trading opportunities during off hours. You can be making the mistake of thinking you have to take trade after trade during the trading day. When you think you have to trade all the time, trading can become a real labor, something difficult to keep at doing. Even the most exciting, rewarding activity can become commonplace if you drive yo...
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Adaptation to Market Realities

Adaptation to Market Realities
Many times in the past I’ve written about the need to adapt, the need to be able to change your behavior relative to the market because the markets are ever-changing.  I’ve stated that mechanical systems may be workable, but for only a short time relative to the life of markets.  You must learn to trade what you see, and to understand what you see on a chart. When I first began trading t...
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Your Worst Enemy

Your Worst Enemy
  In general, we are our own worst enemy when it comes to trading. If you're not careful, you will be your own worst enemy. There are many ways to sabotage yourself as a trader.   Not creating a trading plan, or creating one and then not following it are two of the most common.   Some ways to self-defeat are deep seated; they lurk at the back of your mind and work behind the scenes....
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When it comes to trading it seems that the more you know, the less you know, and the more you become confused.

When it comes to trading it seems that the more you know, the less you know, and the more you become confused.
  People have the tendency to believe that the accuracy of their forecasts increases with more information. This is the illusion of knowledge - that more information increases your knowledge about something and improves your decisions. However, this is not always the case - increased levels of information do not necessarily lead to greater knowledge. There are three reasons for this. First, s...
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Unlike many games and sports, trading has an additional factor: the market!

Unlike many games and sports, trading has an additional factor: the market!
Imagine playing tennis if the ball had a mind of its own, if it could run off to the sidelines and bounce up and down for a minute or two. Imagine a game of golf in which the ball could occasionally go off down the fairway, dance about, and do whatever it wanted. Imagine a chess game in which the pieces suddenly became worthless, or a hockey game in which the puck suddenly went against everything ...
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Trading Discipline

Trading Discipline
  Trading discipline exists in two distinct parts: ·          Before your order is filled. ·          After your order is filled. Let’s look at each of these categories, because both are tremendously important. Trading Discipline Before Your Order Is Filled: Here we are talking about all the things you do as a tra...
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Maintaining Discipline: When Past Choices Influence Future Decisions

Maintaining Discipline: When Past Choices Influence Future Decisions
Traders and investors have difficulty "letting their profits run." When you see your investment increase in value, it's hard to avoid selling early to lock in profits. But not every trade goes your way, so when you come upon a trade that does produce a profit, it's vital for your long-term success to optimize the profits for that particular trade. You must make more profits on your winning trades ...
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Spread Trading Idea 03/31: ZSX17 - 2*ZCN17

Spread Trading Idea 03/31: ZSX17 - 2*ZCN17
Today I am looking at a so called ratio spread: Long 1 November Soybean and short 2 July Corn. The spread looks interesting to me because it is trading at a level where it could turn around again and follow its seasonal pattern to the up-side. The current level (approx. 235) has provided support several times. The seasonal statistic looks promising as well, with 17 winning trades in a row. But thi...
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Anticipation regarding Losses

Anticipation regarding Losses
Trading is a business where you expect to see more losing trades than winners. Expecting to win is apt to produce more disappointment than joy. That doesn’t mean you won’t have a high percentage of winning trades, but it is safer to anticipate otherwise. To the beginning trader, especially, this fact of life can be stress producing and somewhat disappointing. How you cope with losses is all a matt...
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Trading for a living

Trading for a living
Trading for a living involves more than getting in and out of the market at the right time, and more than thinking about moving averages and indicators. Trading is a business, not just a job, and every business in the world has to be managed. Every business involves the managerial functions of organizing, planning, delegating, directing, and controlling. If you, the trader, are to perform these fu...
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How to Approach Trading - Part 7

How to Approach Trading - Part 7
Conclusion It is critical to develop a well thought out and organized trading plan. It is then important to have the discipline needed to follow it. Diversify your trading into several unrelated markets, or focus on one market and time frame where you have seen you can make money. Trading, by its nature is not investing. Trading requires consistent monitoring on at least a daily basis because of t...
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Derivative transactions, including futures, are complex and carry a high degree of risk. They are intended for sophisticated investors and are not suitable for everyone. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results, and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. For more information, see the Risk Disclosure Statement for Futures and Options.